Trump swallows Putin’s lies a greater threat to Ukraine than bombs Rafael is a dazzling star-news.press/wp

WArs should not win. The total victories waved on the horizon in the popular imagination because these are the stories that countries always tell to preserve the national feeling. A complete copy of the date is written in the stagnation.

This deserves to be remembered when Donald Trump Vladimir Putin meets in Alaska on Friday. Both leaders have incentives to pretend that the fate of Ukraine can be decisively settled without any Ukrainians at the negotiating table. This does not make it.

For the American President, this is a project for personal vanity. He promised to end the war within days of returning to the White House. The continuation of hostilities seven months after his inauguration is a reprimand for his self -portrait as the world’s maker.

Putin also also believed that the war could quickly be completed. In February 2022, his comprehensive invade was launched, and Kyiv is expected to fall within weeks. When the Ukrainian resistance thwarted that plan, the Russian president turned into a long drain game, with relying on the numbers of superior forces and air strikes to reduce the validity of Ukraine as a sovereign country. The Russian industrial base and the general opinion of the permanent war were launched. The Kremlin’s propaganda boasted about the unlimited military endurance in the country, while the Russian leaders continue to penetrate the enemy lines and start the long -awaited surrender.

Putin must believe in the inevitability of the Ukrainian defeat because any other scenario – until the ceasefire allows him to hold the lands captured so far – leaves the historical task that has not been weakened. Revenge complaints will be shelter as long as Volodimir Zellinski is the head of a free country to arm itself and follow an independent policy of integration with other European democracies.

Any boundaries or treaty prevent the strategic orientation of Karmlin, which dictates illegal Ukraine in Putin’s eyes. This will not prevent him from signing parts of paper as a tactical means. The Russian president realizes that he tested the patience of his American counterpart. He lost the land in front of Zelinski in the competition to form Trump’s interpretation of the reason for the continuation of the war when he called for peace.

The Ukrainian President wore his televised humiliation in the White House in February, when he was hacked to incite his country’s invasion. Maher diplomacy, which was acquired by NATO leaders who pledged to pay Kiev military bills, bought a piece of recognition from Trump that things might have been more complicated than he previously thought; Putin was subject to “nonsense”; His declared interest in peace contradicts the size of the bombs that he continued to drop on Ukrainian civilians.

ALASKA PowWow happens because Trump has started to stop the shooting and threatens Moscow with penalties. Putin needs to provide some effect on the willingness. It has been calculated that the scene of the summit, along with some mysterious signals brilliantly about “land bodies”, would like Trump’s confidence in his own attractiveness and his belief that the deal is present in order to do so.

Putin will use the meeting to frame the conflict in terms of harmony with Trump’s distorted reading and the amino story historically. This is the version in which the twisted zlenskyy biden wanders in getting rid of the piles of the treasure on a crazy bet. The war has won anyway, Putin will say. Ukraine cannot prevail, but it can make its allies in throwing good money badly. The future of profitable trade relations will be determined by two great powers whose potential friendship was sabotaged by a huge European boycott that is barely considered as an appropriate country. It will make ugly regional claims, covering places that Russian forces have not yet invaded, and this is submitted as a minimum of allocating reasonable lands to Moscow. He will insist on the Ukrainian “removal” – in fact ensuring the country’s susceptibility to some future penetration – and is called necessary for Russian security. We know that these are the demands because Putin was making it for several months. Returning them earlier this month.

Trump does not have to fall into Boom fainting in Putin’s feet to make the summit a success for Russia. The damage will be damaged if it appears from negotiations, the talk points emerge from the Kremlin text. Fear between European Ukraine allies is that he will proudly explain a ceasefire proposal on conditions that Zelinski – an unfair and unprecedented section of his country along the lines drawn by the tyrant that invaded him. Putin will then claim that he tried to talk about peace and the only one that prolongs the Ukrainian war.

Less bleak scenarios imagined. Trump’s new doubts about Putin may withstand corrosion through compliment. The confidence of the Russian leader may prove to penetrate the imminent battlefield in its place – one of the fragile ego symptoms that only gives the public to the audience with good news. It may exaggerate Russia’s economic flexibility against sanctions. It may one day find that the ordinary Russians lose the will to sacrifice a generation of young people to achieve a goal of the national redemption that continues to retreat on the horizon.

When local economic and political incentives change, Putin will become serious about the ceasefire. The mission of Ukraine’s allies is to accelerate that moment by maintaining the maximum military aid to Kiev and financial pressure on Moscow. Even so, the settlement will really leave some Ukrainian lands under a lasting Russian occupation, behind strongly fortified lines. It will be backed by sufficient deterrents to convert a cold bleeding in the hot war. It may end until it appears to be like the descending area on the Korean Peninsula, and two sides are still in war technically, despite the signing of the armistice in 1953

At the present time, the challenge facing Zelinski and his allies is to deal with an American president who talks about war and peace in terms of separate from any moral, historical or strategic context. Trump does not draw any meaningful discrimination between the settlement that allows Ukraine to flourish as an independent state and satisfy the appetite of the Russian president over the conquest. It appreciates two types of the deal – those who make it richer, and those that allow him to do the status of a wonderful deal maker. If he believes that such benefits are available by giving up American allies and interests, there is no reason to believe that he will not do so.

Putin’s goal will be in Alaska. He has no intention to end the war just because the White House is demanding it, but he knows that he must pretend that he wants peace. He knows that his best hope for the defeat of Ukraine is Trump’s treatment of Kyiv’s bullying towards surrender, with the imagination that his humiliation in Kremlin is a kind of personal victory.