Binance BTC is close to the rare purchase area star-news.press/wp

Main meals:

• The Bitcoin/Stablecoin ratio is close to equal 1, which is a rare market signal.

• Market structure scales show the BTC price in the profit system but vulnerable to monotheism.

• Lower of $ 95,000 can lead to the first SMA bear signal for 50 weeks in this course.

The percentage of Binance Bitcoin/Stablecoin is close to a rare threshold coinciding with the markets of the market. The scale, which tracks the Bitcoin (BTC) reserves against Stablecoin reserves on Binance, is approaching equal 1, another level observed in March, when Bitcoin fell to $ 78,000 before the gathering towards a height of $ 123,000 ever.

Data from Cryptoquant Indicate This setting has only appeared twice since the last bear market, which raises interest as a possible purchase sign. However, hunting is that in previous sessions, the ratio usually flashes at the end of the bear markets in 2023 and recently in March. Thus, its appearance again in the current context may risk a wrong signal, and may be hinting at the beginning of a long correction instead of the bottom.

With the support of the force of the ratio, the Binance Reserves from ERC-20 Stablecoin achieved a record 37.8 billion dollars, reflecting fixed flows and deep liquidity. Investors appear on the stock exchange away from excessively exposure to BTC, which enhances that the capital is waiting for the margin.

At the same time, Bitcoin Axel Edler Junior. to caution The market remains in the “reform stage”. The analyst indicated that Bitcoin is located at $ 110,700, just higher than the short -term owner, the price achieved $ 107,600, a major monthly support zone.

The structural indicators remain intact, as the total price achieved $ 52,800, and a long -term holder made at 35,600 dollars, both of which are much lower than the current levels. NUPL at 0.53 indicates that the market is in a wide profit system but is still shy of cheerful extremism.

In short, the highest budgets remain upward, but the sensitivity can extend for profit. Whether the Binance ratio again represents a turning point or instead, the disorders will depend on the ability of bitcoin to obtain major support.

Related: Colds “The Ecstasy Phase

SMA still 50 weeks of Bitcoin determines the risk of the bear market

Another important scale for Bitcoin is a simple moving average for 50 weeks (SMA), which has constantly indicated a cycle transformations since 2018. Historical data shows that the closed the bitcoin currency of a weekly candle, the less than 50-SMA, the long corrections follow, with a temperature of 63 % in 2018 and the calm of 67 % in 2022. It is destroyed.

Since March 2023, Bitcoin has managed to stay above 50-SMA, with major tests in August 2024 and March 2025 failed to produce a weekly closure below the index. Based on the modified levels, the analysis estimates that the decrease in the 90,000 dollar range to $ 95,000 can pay BTC to less than 50-SMA for the first time in this course.

Such a step will provide the first clear technical signal to the bear market, which raises the risks if the current integration is higher or divided into a deeper correction.

Related: Bitcoin Bear, scheduled in October with the bottom of $ 50,000: analysis

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each step includes investment and risk trading, and readers must conduct their own research when making a decision.