Since Sunday, the Middle East started from escalating the war to a fragile ceasefire. The truce appears to be held, and what US President Donald Trump has called the “12th War” between Israel and Iran has ended – at the present time.
Meanwhile, Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Iran’s leaders, claimed that stopping in the conflict occurred on their conditions.
So, what is the truth? What did Israel achieve? Has Iran managed to defend its strategic origins? Is the armistice a path of peace?
How did the events reveal?
Late Saturday night, at the request of Israel, the United States entered the Israeli -Iranian war with strikes on Iranian nuclear installations in Fordo, Natanz and Safhan, “completely obliterate them”, Trump said.
On Monday, Iran returned back, firing rockets at the largest American air base in the Middle East, was friendly in Qatar.
It looked as if the Middle East was ready for a wider and longer war.
But within hours, Trump Its social media platform has been announced, “It has been fully agreed by Israel and Iran, and between Iran, there will be a full ceasefire.”
Trump described it as “12 days of war … it could have continued for years and destroyed the Middle East.”
Four hours After the ceasefire was supposed to enter, Israel launched a blow against Iran in response to what it said are Balti missiles entering into the airspace, which was launched from Iran. Both were intercepted. Israel’s retaliation destroyed a radar station near Tehran.
Trump was angry. “I am really unhappy because Israel went out this morning,” he told reporters.
“We have two countries fighting hard and long, so much that they do not know what to do.”
Iran said it had not launched these missiles. By 11:30 GMT, the ceasefire returned. Trump spoke to Netanyahu.
“Israel will not attack Iran. All aircraft will turn and head home, while a” friendly plane “wave is in Iran. No one will be harmed, if the ceasefire is in effect!” Trump books On the social truth.
What did Israel achieve?
Israel has long claimed that Iran is the first existential threat, but it was not hit by the nuclear facilities of Laurent.
On June 13, this red line crossed, bombing the surface facilities of the Natanz fuel station and the nuclear dirt technology complex. Iran has a revenge by launching drones and missiles in Israel.
Israel has set nuclear facilities in Syria and Iraq before, but it has now proven that it could carry out a complex task much further.
He also stood up to international accusations that its mission was not legal. Israel claims that pre -emptive self -defense, but not everyone agrees that Iran is developing a nuclear bomb, or it has planned to use it against Israel in an unlimited way.
“I am talking to world leaders and they are very fan of our design and the achievements of our forces.” Netanyahu He said on June 18.
Finally, Israel has proven that it could convince the United States to enter a limited attack in the Middle East. In the previous two wars in 1967 and 1973, the United States provided financial support to Israel when it was attacked, but it did not help it in direct operational participation.
Netanyahu thanked Trump for “standing next to us.”
The rise against Iran occurred in the wake of the conflicts that Israel launched against Iran’s regional allies – the Houthis in Yemen, Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Hamas and Hezbollah have been weakened over the past two years.
Has Iran managed to defend its nuclear program?
Israel has managed to damage the surface targets significantly in Iran, and the United States claims to destroy the underground nuclear facilities.
But while satellite photography shows that their missiles hit their mark, there is no independent confirmation available to verify what has been destroyed. You will need to searches on the site.
“At this time, no one – including the International Atomic Energy Agency – said in a position that allows him to assess full damage in Ford,” said Raphael Grossi, director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations Central Agency for the United Nations, said on Monday after the American strikes. “Given the explosive load used, and the sensitive nature of the severe vibrations of centrifugation, it is expected to occur very significantly,” he said.
It is also not known where there is 400 kg (880 pounds) of very enriched uranium, which the International Atomic Energy Agency said now.
Muhammad IslamiThe head of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization suggested that the nuclear program will appear safely. “The preparations for the recovery were already expected, and our plan is to prevent any interruption in production or services,” he said on Tuesday in a statement delivered by the semi -official Mehr agency.
Meanwhile, the confusion remains on the source of a ballistic missile that struck Israel on Tuesday morning, three and a half hours after the ceasefire began. The Iranian government officially denied after the firing of the missiles.
So who did? Did they accidentally opened fire – like the Iranian missile that accidentally shot down a Ukrainian passenger plane in 2021, which resulted in 176 people?
How much is the possibility of another strike on Iran?
What Israel and Iran agreed to is the ceasefire. They did not make peace.
In the Iranian nuclear program, experts say there is – on a large scale – two possible future paths.
The renewed United Nations inspections of Iranian nuclear facilities and a new treaty with Iran, and may be similar to the 2015 US President Barack Obama’s action plan, may reduce global pressure on its program, although Trump was the one who withdrew from JCPOA, not Iran.
This is where European powers can play a role. Three of them, the United Kingdom, France and Germany, met the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragichi on June 20, along with the head of the European Union’s foreign policy, Kaja Callas, in an attempt to avoid American strikes. This offer failed, but although the European Union cannot benefit from Iran in a compromise, it could be a point of anti -American -Israeli force.
“Iran will try to involve the Europeans diplomatically through the proposal of reinforced monitoring and obligations in its nuclear program,” Ioannis Kotoulas, assistant lecturer in political geography at Athens University, told Al -Jazeera.
He said: “The United States can accept a peaceful nuclear program – (US Secretary of State Marco) has already said that the possibility is that the United States will not try to impose regime change.” “Europe is now the only way Iran. Russia is not reliable.”
But Israel previously tried to outperform any nuclear deal between the West and Iran, and it is unlikely to accept a new agreement.
Will Iran be open to a compromise, after the United States withdrew from a previous nuclear deal with Tehran, then changed the targets of targets during the recent talks, and finally joined Israel in bombing Iranian nuclear installations while they were supposed to negotiate an agreement?
“This really depends on the dynamics inside the country and how any climbing is formulated, but there were already calls to stop enriching uranium from activists inside the country,” said Ali Ansari, a professor of Iranian history at St. Andrews University, for the island.
So far, Iran appears to be not available in the pursuit of its nuclear program.
On Monday, the National Security Committee of the Iranian Parliament approved a draft law that is pushing for the full suspension of Tehran’s cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency if approved in a plenary session.
Meanwhile, Trump confirmed on Tuesday to social media that he would not allow Iran’s nuclear program to appeal.
If this basic tension remains intact, another round of strikes and measurement that absorbs in the United States may only be a matter of time.
https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/AFP__20250622__63AL4WT__v2__HighRes__TopshotComboUsIranIsraelConflictTrump-1750569369.jpg?resize=1920%2C1440
2025-06-24 18:39:00
