“Tariff Simulator” reveals which products will be the most difficult affected by the trade war star-news.press/wp

Certain sectors of the American economy are designed to experience significant influences from the Tariff of President Donald Trump in Chinese imports.

Internos.ai, a supply risk management company, has developed “Tariff simulator“To make costs for each sector based on different tax import rates.

According to the Company’s budgets, based on official trade data, the toy industry will suffer the most if the rates of 145 percent in Chinese imports remain in place. The sector would see fiscal influence – the total cost of imports with simulated tariffs applied $ 78.5 billion in 2025. based on $ 32 billion in the amount of $ 32 billion and an additional 46.5 billion tariff impact.

Why is it important

Representatives of imported reliable industries, including toys and clothing, expressed concern that Trump tariffs could write disaster for companies across the United States and increase costs for consumers from abroad.

What to know

According to the simulator, should the administration reduce Chinese tariffs at 50 percent – as recently considered, in accordance with the report from Wall Street magazine– The overall impact on the toy sector would fall to $ 48.1 billion.

In addition to the toy industry – whose representatives have already warned that tariffs can result in higher prices and empty shelves come in holiday season – other products for feelings of the pronounced administration policy.

Inters.i calculated that the overall cost of importing electrical batteries and rechargeable batteries and rechargeable batteries – would increase $ 44.4 billion from $ 18.1 billion last year. For clothing, the sector similarly relying on Chinese imports, it would increase to $ 38.5 billion of $ 15.7 billion.

Total trade products “Plastic products” would more than twice the $ 26.6 billion, with similar shoes influences ($ 25.2 billion) and domestic kitchen appliances ($ 22 billion).

In separate research from interos.ai, it is divided by NewsweekThe company estimated that each year estimated 457,000 importers brings popular holiday cases – such as clothing, toys, sweets and jewelers, from which almost half of China and Hong Kong are performed from China and Hong Kong. In four weeks after Trump’s “Day of Liberation”, internation, internation, they found that shipments of these goods fell by 53 percent compared to 2024 levels.

The port authorities in the west coast have already noticed a drastic drop in asian imports, warning that many traders in Chinese shipment “hit the pause button.” These effects, they said, could result in a lack of products as far away from Christmas.

What do people say

Ted Krantz, Director General Interos.ai, said Newsweek: “Vacation planning starts well before the summer. If the traders place orders in June, they are already behind. With 90 percent of the shops range from two to 10 weeks, delays are inevitable, especially in a volatile trade environment.”

He added: “The sellers are facing heavy compromises: they order early and pay more or wait and risk warehouses. With tariffs by adding new layers of uncertainty, companies that rely on the old book for the most critical one year.”

Port from Los Angeles Director Gene Seroka said last week: “American importers, especially in the retail sector, tell me that today they have about five to seven weeks of a normal inventory. … Many traders and manufacturers hit a break button, stopping all the shipments from China.”

Greg Ahearna, General Manager of Toy Association, said Lisica 5 in April: “We present over 850 companies in joining the toys, which is really unsustainable for 145 percent of China for each of them. … The company’s tariff is really problematic and maybe in fact if they stayed out of work for too long.”

What happens next

The Management Board remained optimistic that the contract with Beijing may result, which would result in tariffs in the country that descend.

In the testimony before the house, a suitable subcommittee for financial services on Tuesday, the Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bensent said that the United States did not yet address the negotiations with China. The Management Board confirmed that officials will meet with the Chinese delegation during the Lessse visit to Switzerland on Thursday.