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Main meals:

  • Bitcoin Aviv ratio remains less than historical peak levels, indicating a possible climbing above $ 330,000 before confirming the top of the cycle.

  • Bitcoin’s unimaginable wives decreased significantly in 2025, noting strategic accumulation through strategy, metaplanet, Blackrock and others.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) was a rock month, but the last analysis indicates that BTC could rise by 300 % in this course. Technical analyst Gert Van Lagan X post It highlights the percentage of AVIV, a scale that compares the active drawing of Bitcoin (Money In Motion) with a total investor capital (verified capital, except for MINER rewards).

Historically, when the AVIV ratio crosses its deviation +3σ, it has indicated to the highest cycle. For example, BTC reached $ 1,200 in 2013, or nearly $ 20,000 in 2017, and about $ 69,000 in 2021. Currently, the level of AVIV ratio is still lower than these previous summits, indicating that bitcoin may reach at least 330,000 dollars in this session, before fulfilling the average deviation condition.

Bitcoin: Aviv comparative historical history ratio. Source: Gert Van Lagin/S

AVIV provides a unique lens on market dynamics, which reflects the investor activity against the closed value. The rise indicates an increase in trading or profit, and major price movements often precede. This Van Lagen analysis links the periodic nature of Bitcoin, as the marches have historically harmed great gains. However, its predictive accuracy lacks health verification in the changing market conditions, and the fluctuations of the wild card remain.

In addition to narration and data from Cryptoquant A noticeable shift is revealed: Bitcoin’s possessions on Outsment Office (OTC) decreased from 166,500 to 137,400 in 2025. This decrease indicates that big investors transmit holdings, which may indicate a decrease in sales pressure or a long -term storage.

Current currencies, bitcoin price, markets, price analysis, market analysis
Bitcoin: OTC’s total balance. Source: Cryptoquant

The low balances of OTC offices this year of strategic accumulation are established by institutional investors, led by the aggressive purchase of the strategy, and a new monastery such as metaplanet, which collected 10,000 BTC, along with strong net flows to the instant Bitcoin boxes, which are represented by 128.18 billion dollars In clear value. Blackrock’s encryption wallet also has more than $ 70 billion in BTC, which summarizes the current intention of the main investors in the market.

Related: 25 % Bitcoin prices to follow up today’s correction if history is repeated

The Energy Law sets the goal of bitcoin between $ 220,000 and $ 330,000

Similar to Van Lagin price of $ 330,000, another study by Bitcoin SMINSTON researcher with the highest similar course for BTC. With an average analysis of 365 days (SMA) in line with the Energy Law model (ROR = 0.96), bitcoin price may reach $ 220,000 to $ 330,000 in this course.

Current currencies, bitcoin price, markets, price analysis, market analysis
Bitcoin Power Law Fit Analysis by Sminston with. Source: x

Currently trading about 104,000 dollars, BTC will need a 100 % increase to 200 % to reach these levels, in line with historical peaks where prices have multiplied or multiplied three times over the energy law lines.

With the challenges of the model in the assumptions of fluctuations, bitcoin price courses appear with great fluctuations, as evidenced by fixed deviations from the direction line. While optimism, the researcher warns that the analysis derives from only four market courses, and urges doubt.

Likewise, Cointelegraph mentioned that a list of 30 peaks in Coinglass indicates that Bitcoin can slip to $ 230,000, with no cycle although BTC reaches $ 112,000. Standards such as Pi Cycle Top and MVRV show that the upward market has an operating room, support optimistic expectations.

Related: Bitcoin Less

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each step includes investment and risk trading, and readers must conduct their own research when making a decision.

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2025-06-21 18:00:00

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