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Hopes Iranian nuclear talks for tempered threats and mixed messages star-news.press/wp

Parham Ghobadi

BBC Persian

EPA US President Donald Trump Gesture while talking to reporters in oval office, in the White House, Washington DC (17. April 2025)EPA

As Iran and the United States holds a second round of nuclear talks in Rome in Rome, hope that the removal of escalation will be mitigated by mounting military threats and mixed messages.

U.S. President Donald Trump reminds Tehran almost every day of their options: a deal or war.

Ago he said Israel would lead a military response if the conversations failed.

On Wednesday, the New York Times reported that Trump “waved” Israeli plan to strike Iranian nuclear pages as next month.

“I wouldn’t have waved. I’m not in a hurry to do it,” Trump told reporters in response to the article on Thursday, adding to preferred diplomacy.

“I think Iran has the opportunity to have a great country and live happily without death … That’s my first option. If there is another option, I think it would be very bad for Iran.”

Once both sides described the first round of talks in Oman last weekend as constructive, Trump said “to make a decision on Iran very quickly”.

Why Iran returned to the table

In 2018. Trump extracted from 2015. Year, in 2015. he saw that restrict his nuclear activity and enables the inspection of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in return for return relief.

He said he had done too little to stop the potential route of Iran to nuclear weapons and returned us sanctions as part of the “maximum pressure” campaign to negotiate the new agreement.

However, Iran refused and increasingly violated revenge restrictions. Now stored a highly enriched uranium enough to make a few bombs if he chose to do it – something that says it would never do.

The EPA Photo from the Iranian Presidency shows the President of Masoud Pezeshkian (2. R), which showed Uranium enrichment by Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, Mohammad Eslami, Iran, Iran (9. April 2025)EPA

President Masoud Pezeshkian showed Iran nuclear technology at the exhibition in Tehran at the beginning of this month

The threat of military action seems to play a role in bringing Iran back to the negotiating table. It still insists that this is not a reason.

The website of the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said Iran agreed only because the United States limited its demands strictly to nuclear issues – not for fear of us and Israeli strokes.

Even so, achieving an agreement remains far from certain.

Trump’s special envoy in the Middle East Steva Witkoff, who is led by the American bargaining team, published on X.

He came only a day after he suggested in the interview with Fox’s news that Iran would be allowed to continue enriching uranium.

AFP Composite image shows us the Middle Eastern Envoy Steve Witkoff (L) and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi (R)AFP

American Envoy Steve Witkoff (L) and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (R) are moving two negotiating teams

“It should not enrich the last 3.67%,” he said, referring to the border set to the 2015 nuclear offer. Year.

“This will be a lot about verification on the enrichment program, and then ultimately verification of weapons.”

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, Head of the Iranian Delegation, replied with a notation of Witkoff’s “contradictory statement” and pointing out that “actual positions would be clear at the negotiating table”.

“We are ready to build confidence in relation to possible concerns about Iran enrichment, but the principle of enrichment is not negotiating,” he said.

Diplomatic Burr

Saturday conversations in Rome come in the middle of the nonsense of diplomatic activity.

The Minister of Defense of Saudi Arabia, Prince Khalid Bin Salman, visited Tehran on Thursday, providing his father’s personal message to King Salman to Ayatollah Khamenei. He met Iran President, Masoudo Pezeshkijan.

Iran warned that every American military action would be fulfilled against US bases in the region – many of them are hosted Iran Arabic neighbors.

EPA hand photo that enabled Iranian supreme leader shows the supreme leader of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (R) listening to the defense minister of Saudi Arabia Prince Khalid bin Salman in Tehran, Iran (April 20, 2025)EPA

Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (R), met Saudi Minister of Defense Prince Khalid Bin Salman (L) in Tehran

At the same time, Araghchi visited Moscow and provided a letter from Khamenei to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Iran and Russia strengthened their military connections from the beginning of the war in Ukraine, with Tehran accused of drone supply to support the effort of the Moscow War.

The Russian parliament ratified a 20-year strategic partnership between Iran and Russia 10 days ago. However, the agreement does not include a mutual defense clause.

Meanwhile, Chief Iaea Rafael Grossi completed a two-day visit to Tehran this week, meeting of Iranian nuclear officials and foreign ministers in the offer for facilitating tensions and returning inspections.

Atmosphere distrust

Since Trump returned to the office this year, Ayatollah Khamenei consistently denied negotiations with Washington.

“Negotiating with this administration is not logical, not wise, nor honorable,” he said in February speech, only two months before he agreed to the current circle of conversation.

The supreme leader of the stem from Trump’s withdrawal from the Nuclear Agreement, the “maximum pressure” campaign that followed, and the assassination of General Quassem Soleimania in the American Strike in Iraq in Iraq 2020. Years.

Ayatollah Khamenei expressed satisfaction with the first round of conversation, saying that “implemented well”.

But he warned that “neither is overly optimistic or overly pesimistic.”

Getty Images File Photo Display B-2 Stealth Bomber flying over Pasadena, USA (1 January 2025)Getty Images

As many as six US B-2 bombers were moved in March to base on the Indian Island of Diega Garcia

He had previously warned that Iran would revenge in the case of strikes on his nuclear program.

Some officials, including his advisor, but Lariarni, even said that Iran could be “forced” to gain nuclear weapons if he was attacked.

“We don’t deal with weapons, and we don’t have problems with Iae supervision – even indefinitely. But if you resort to bombing, Iran will not have a choice,” Lariarans told the state TV at the beginning of this month.

Directly or indirectly?

Each side pushes its own narrative about how conversations are implemented.

Now they say they are direct. Iran says they are indirect, and that Oman is mediated by exchanging written notes.

After the first round in Muscat, Araghchi admitted that after the crossing, he released a brief exchange with Witkoff “out of diplomatic kindness.”

At the USA website Axios, alleged sources reported that the two main negotiators were spoken to by 45 minutes.

Tehran prefers secrets. Washington is looking for publicity.

Once both sides set up positive statements about the first round, the Iran currency aligned by 20%.

Iranian leadership is well consciously in public dissatisfaction over the sharp economic conditions of the country – and potential for protest that can run.

For the Islamic Republic, fear is not just because of bombs – and protests.

2025-04-19 09:36:00

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