Bitcoin predictions examination after 128 half star-news.press/wp

Every four years, Bitcoin code stimulates an event that changes everything. This “half” reduces the creation of new coins in the half, which is a simple but strong action that historically increases the way for the largest encryption market movements. To understand what will happen, you have to understand this basic feature.

Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious Bitcoin founder, built this scarcity in the system directly. The rule is simple – after adding 210,000 pieces of transactions to the chain, the bonus of miners who work in two parts are cut. Once again in 2009, miners got 50 BTC for the mass. After 2024, this decreased to 3.125 BTC only.

What do you expect when 2028 revolves?

In 2028, it will be 1.5625 BTC. This countdown will continue until the last fragment is extracted from Bitcoin, at some time about 2140.

These are not just technical details though. It is the heart of the Bitcoin story. It guarantees a predictable slow decrease from new metal currencies, unlike governments that can print money as desired. This programmed scarcity is exactly the reason why people call it “digital gold”. If we look back, these events were missile fuel for the market. All half, so far, a big tour of the bull began.

So, what about 2028? The symbol indicates the next half that occurs at some time in this spring, at a mass of 1,050,000. It is not surprising, that predictions are already flying, as some analysts look to between 150,000 dollars and $ 300,000 in the years. However, before you bet on the farm, there is hunting – the party may not be wild this time. The effect of each half appears to be smaller.

After the event of 2012, Bitcoin exploded by about 9000 %. The 2016 cycle witnessed a 2900 % jump, and 2020 offered “just” 700 %. It is just mathematics since the market is larger, you need amazing amounts of new money to get these same percentage gains.

For people who believe in the network – miners – half is lowering wild wages. Overnight, its revenues are cut from new coins in half. We saw it after half in April 2024 with a decrease in daily profits. This pressure cook environment forces shake. Odem with high electricity bills or older equipment cannot compete and have to close, which can be represented in the total computing power in the network for a short period. To survive, they must constantly search for cheaper power and more powerful machines.

What happened after half of 2024?

This time, the old rules do not fully apply. The year 2024 was the first to happen after the United States agreed to the investment funds circulating in the United States, which led to the launch of a torrent of money from big investors. This institutional demand is a completely new element in this mix. In fact, one can argue that a mixture of these factors in addition to the re -election of President Trump in November 2024 contributed to hitting the BTC at an ever up altitude above 120,000 dollars on the plans.

Source: TradingView

Moreover, Bitcoin’s fate is now closely related to the global economy. Things such as interest rates, inflation and recession fears can easily throw pain in the post -half gathering.

New rules also change the game. MICA regulations in Europe are now in effect, and the United States is heading towards its encryption laws such as Fit21. The most obvious rules can either either institutional purchase or put a cover on it, depending on what they say.

If we look at the bottom of the road, there is an annoying question about the security of Bitcoin. Since the rewards for extracting the new blocks shrink to almost nothing, the network will have to survive the transaction fees alone. Whether these drawings will be sufficient to push miners to keep the network safe after a few decades from now is a discussion that no one has a clear answer so far.

History tells a bullish story, but it is not a guarantee. The global recession, or the sudden organizational embargo from a major country, or another large encryption company can easily hinder the pattern.

Therefore, while the half of the half is baked in the code, its effect on the market is not. It is a predictive scarcity collision with an unpredictable chaos of institutional funds, global economy and human behavior.