Polymarket under the fire while the whales vote distort the result Zelenskyy suit: What is happening? star-news.press/wp

When Ukrainian President Folodimir Zellinski came out in a black suit last month, the world watched this, except for voters in Oracle Bulmla. Now, the betting madness of $ 160 million depends on whether the truth can excel the most likely manipulation of the distinctive symbol.

On June 24 /

The outfit, a rare departure from military exhaustion, has preferred Zelinski since the invasion of Russia, the headlines of newspapers and themes, and unexpectedly, a high -risk encoding dispute.

In Polymark, the prediction market asks whether Zelinski will put a lawsuit before July that attracted tens of millions of size and an increasing crowd of merchants betting on what appeared to be direct accuracy. However, in the days after its appearance, the deep traders immersed the market with “no” proofs, and they took advantage of Quirk in the Oracle system in Oma, equivalent to the realistic accuracy.

How did you create the incentives of Oracle Oma, the District Field of $ 160 million

At the heart of the case lies Uma Oracle, the mechanism used to solve markets on polymarket. The UMA system stimulates the participants to vote in compliance with the majority to earn bonuses.

Decally, the sounds are not equal. Their weight is determined by the number of distinctive symbols, not the number of voters. This creates a strong inconsistency: one whale contains enough symbols that can swing the result, regardless of the facts or the intention of the market.

Zelenskyy market has revealed this defect with high accuracy. Despite NATO official footage, Reuters asserting a “Sitra similar”, and even a tweet from the polymers of the polymers declaring “President Zelinski in a suit last night”, the voters in Oma initially bowed towards the “No.” basic basis: the previous market was resolved similar to its vision in the military way in May, ignoring the fact that more than 50 major publications used the word “suit”.

Traders who bet “yes” broke out when he described the official account of Polymarkket (Polymarkintel) retroactively, “running society” after recognizing the lawsuit.

The reverse reaction is intensified with the accusations of Martin Shkreli of the manipulation of the market, while the Polywhale repellent, a group of affected merchants, began to collect evidence of Oracle’s misconduct.

With the final date of the decision decision on July 8, the repercussions of the future of the prediction markets can re -define. The result is “no” to verify the validity of the fears that the whale capital can overcome the verified events. “Yes” can restore faith, but only if it is associated with meaningful Oracle reforms.

Either way, Suit Saga has already revealed a trillion dollar question: Can decentralized platforms deal with the truth, or will they turn into casinos where the house always wins?