A The resonant phrase during the First Administration Donald Trump was advice to take him “seriously, but not literally.” It was a unique harmful expression, widely quoted by politicians And the media. Her adoption corresponds to the position, many felt the most comfortable taking: Trump was bad, but he was not smart. He was not intentional. It was not calculated and intentional. He sounded, but he rarely followed the action. He was essentially abused by weapons that could do serious damage, but mostly by accident.
The rest of that approach still exists, even in the analysis describing Trump’s first executive accounts as a “shock and awe” campaign, “it is just a matter of signaling, not to signal. Or that his gauze plan should be taken – You guessed it – seriously, not literally. When it proposed by the Democratic Senator Andy Kim, He lost him. “I understand that people bend backwards to try to mitigate some relegation from these statements made,” he said politics. But Trump is “the main commander of the world’s most powerful Army … If I can’t take the words of the United States to actually mean something, and they don’t need to explain, I just don’t know what to think about when it comes to our national security. “
Part of the problem is that people are reluctant to impue Trump has any coherence. But Trump Doctrin appears, most sincere in foreign policy. There are clear characteristics, contours and types of unique conflict theory. First, it is transactional, especially when it comes to warfare in which they play a role now. There is nothing history or any objective sense of right and wrong. The weather starts with Trump, and its role is to end things, ideal, while securing a bonus for the United States.
That upside down is the second feature of Trump doctrine: Financing or reducing policies as things cost, which is the return and how it can be maximized. Trump sees conflicts and financial assistance that did not produce something tangibly for the United States. From the war Gaza, some type of offer for real estate can be saved. In Ukraine, a proposal for almost four times the value of American aid so far in minerals is like removing a tricked company by a new investment manager trying to compensate for funds.
The third characteristic is the tops of any concepts of “soft power” – something that is seen as expensive, with questionable benefits that are abstract and nonfantified. The soft power can also be a myth completely, a fiction that is baskalls the previously gorgeous regimes, which gave them some sense of control, while others inserted the US Resources. In Gaza or Ukraine, the United States passed through proposals for action without the final breakthrough. Where others saw the soft power, Trump sees the clutches.
The features of this approach can change and can be short-lived and harmful to US Security. And they may not be fully coming from Trump itself, but cutting different political straps of the configuration of the interest that support and advise it. He finally is directed through Trump, the doctrine takes over the characteristics of his character – Rampling, narcissistic, ignorant. However, none of this should be confused by a lack of basic consistency and solve to follow.
This leaves other leaders, especially in Europe, in a place where their historical arrangements and understanding have been erased when it comes to American compact. European countries are now simply younger nations that can either release the concepts of deduction of Vladimir Putin, join Trum in bringing themselves, or pick up the pieces when now pull his support.
Due to anger and language “mitigation“I”capitulation“It feels like the wrong thing that happens, the echo of the time when he was universally agreed to be aggressive enemies, and anything else is a moral defeat and sign of weakness. But Trump functions in another value system, one in which these terms are not They apply nor have different definitions.
As Europeans are considered, Trump’s plan for Ukraine does not only work outside Europe in Washington, but in the Middle East, in the new centers of medium aid that have always been transaction. They alone are in the oversizing redefining their relationship with the US and have no illusions about the world that appears. Sergei Lavrov met with Marco Rubio in Riyadh and Volodymyr Zelenskyy flew into the region Preparation for peacekeeping interviews mediated in the bay in Abu Dhabi. Those whose relations with the United States were difficult, around mutual self-interest, not divided values, and always had to manage the US in larger or smaller measures, they are now denying in moral horror.
For others, for intimate friends and family in the country, those who shared American values ​​and security obligations, change the regime is a bitter swallowing tablet. Probably there can be no persuasion, negotiations or hopes of a “transatlantic bridge”, as described “transatlantic bridge”, such as Keir Starmer, a character that can act as an intermediary between the United States and Europe and from the cracking head. Maybe Starmer can be appealed Trump Ego? Or “Carry out your diplomatic line“Or persuade him in Putin makes it look weak? Everything that takes effect on the Trump Party that can be received in (and the Prime Manual Charm), and also to tell the trump cards even shares similar terms “judgments” or the same understanding “or the same understanding of the” weakness “. There is no small but still sharing, medium ground.
There are now two possibilities for former close friends and security partners: globally, giving up the concepts of European solidarity, they quickly forward the end of a fireworm and took peace with vulnerable defense and political subordinate defense. Or board the colossal Power mapping Exercise. This implies fast, narrowly coordinated action on the political, bureaucratic and military level to replace the United States or at least show a block that has some power, agency and ageness – and the challenge of Trump in the only language that understands.
It is tempting to think that Trump does not mean that, or should be managed and muffled because everything that is subject to its actions is reckless. Or that there is a way to reconcile what the two incompatible conceptions of the global order are now in essence. Who wants to wake up every day and count with the end of the world the way they know that? But that’s right. And as soon as political leaders appear with the fact that the roads on the old road are closed, it is more likely to completely momi completely on Trump’s terms.
2025-02-24 06:00:00
