American strikes on Iranian nuclear sites lead to the ceasefire of Israel, Iran’s fragile star-news.press/wp

After Trump’s strategic strike on Iranian nuclear facilities,

Twelve days of air strikes, rocket exchange, and enthusiasm between Israel and Iran in the ceasefire. The United States mediated, and the truce temporarily suspended a conflict that threatened to dictate in a regional war that includes American forces, energy markets and global non -deployment rules.

Now that the dust has settled, the decisive question appears: What is the real purpose of America’s decision to strike Iran’s nuclear infrastructure? And what should our strategic situation come forward?

The real motivation behind the strike

President Trump claimed that the strikes were necessary because Iran was “weeks” from the production of a nuclear weapon. In a televised address, he said that Iran could complete a bomb in “two weeks” if it chooses. “Iran (nuclear weapon) can produce in only weeks,” press secretary Caroline Levit.

Trump brokers, Iran, the ceasefire, as experts say, the regime’s arsenal is shattered, but the threat is still

However, in March 2025, the Director of National Intelligence Tolsi Gabbard witnessed that Iran was not building a nuclear weapon and did not resume the development of warheads, despite its inventory of enriched uranium. After Trump publicly opposed it – “It is wrong”, later dust a dust to reflect the administration’s concern, noting that Iran can produce a weapon “within weeks to months, if they decide to put the final touches on the association.”

In essence, Iran had crossed the nuclear threshold – which was abandoned highly enriched uranium to build a bomb – but did not. Therefore, the strike was not intended to neutralize an imminent weapon, but Iran’s deprivation in the near -term building options. It was a preventive step, based on the strategy, not panic.

This account came under the renewed scrutiny. The defense intelligence agency, which was leaked, indicated that the American strikes may be “shortly late” the Iranian nuclear program – in the adoption of Trump’s claim that it was “blurring.” However, the CIA, in a statement issued by director John Ratcliffe, stated that intelligence shows that many major nuclear facilities have been destroyed and will take years to rebuild. This conclusion, which was dropped from the jaw, is achieved in the strategic choice of America and confirmed that the process dealt with a severe and long -term blow to the possibility of Iran’s outbreak.

No way to peace – just a cold war

Despite the gossip about diplomacy, the official peace between Israel and Iran is still far -reaching. Since 1979, Tehran has refused to recognize the existence of Israel. Its regime sees Israel as illegal and calls for its destruction. Israel, in turn, believes that Iran poses an existential threat, fueled by nuclear ambition and a global network of agents.

These dynamics are still unchanged. During the NATO Summit, President Trump publicly reprimanded Israel’s internal policy – which sparked the corruption trial of Prime Minister Netanyahu as a “charming chase”, hinting to reconsider possible military support. This general intrusion in Israeli local affairs highlights the extent of deepening the influence in the United States now beyond the battlefield.

Looking at these firm situations, the most likely result is that reconciliation is not a long confrontation – with a modern cold war. Acting skirmishes, electronic attacks and secret operations are likely to determine the coming years. Stability will depend on deterrence, not diplomatic optimism.

The limits of peace talks

International actors-especially the United Nations and the European Union-are expected to pressure the new peace talks and weapons control frameworks. Such diplomacy is worthy of praise, but expectations must be reduced.

Iran has already indicated that it will not join job inspections without major concessions. Israel insists on beating proactively if it discovers renewable threats. The most realistic that we can hope is the measures of temporary confidence-building-fertilization? These are fragile progress – not real peace treaties.

President Trump announced that US officials will meet with their Iranian counterparts “next week” to discuss nuclear fears and regional stability. While the advertisement indicates a shift towards participation, the continuous tensions of the administration with the intelligence community – however with the Iranian ideological position – suspect any doubt about the possibilities of any permanent diplomatic penetration.

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A realistic path forward

The best strategic goal now is not peace, but stability. This means the perpetrator policy:

1. Determination promotionIt explains that the renewed Iranian nuclear activity or the agent of the agent will be quickly and decisive.
2. Preserving regional alliancesDeepening cooperation with Israel, Gulf allies, and NATO partners for joint intelligence and defense.
3. Supporting quiet diplomacy: Maintaining communication open through brokers like Qatar and Oman to reduce miscalculation.
4. Maintain inspection mechanismsThe presence of limited International Atomic Energy Agency, even under the settlement, provides critical transparency.

conclusion

Contrary to preliminary claims, President Trump’s strike was not related to ending an immediate nuclear threat, but rather to deprive Iran from any highway to one path. CIA asserting that Iran’s main nuclear sites have been destroyed and will take years to rebuild this strategy.

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Peace with Iran remains a dream far. Instead, America must prepare for a long, asymmetric competition – driven by proxy conflicts, electronic tensions, and ideological competition. The ceasefire may withstand, but the war has not yet ended.

The real victory does not lie in treaties or summits, but in fixed deterrence, disciplined diplomacy, and clear strategic patience.