Bitcoin: Why can September be the development of the plot in the Q4 story of BTC star-news.press/wp

Main meals

BTC is heading to the strongest seasonal extension. But flipping 125 thousand dollars to support and getting help from Macro Q4 is the key to photographing $ 200,000.

Q4 was historically the most powerful Bitcoin (BTC).

I recorded at an average return of 85.4 % and a high hit rate on double -number marches. This is not just random. Federal reserve dilution courses constantly feed the risk assets, and BTC was the main beneficiary.

Now, markets Re -discrimination To reduce the rate of 50 bits per second in September, even with inflation is still sticky. This is a clear tilt towards a risk position. If the Federal Reserve delivers, the previous Q4 flows indicate the payment of $ 200,000 by the end of the year.

Source: TradingView (BTC/USDT)

This means treating another $ 86,000 in the upward trend of the current spot.

Technically, BTC is looking to build a base ranging from $ 110,000 and 115 thousand dollars. Support this, Etf flows Positive turned, and withdrew 90 million dollars from net flow after bleeding 1.5 billion dollars over the past four days.

However, the seasonal can limit the upward trend in the short term. August and September were dead areas for BTC, with average negative returns. If this trend continues, the outbreak may be worth $ 125,000 in the next 60 days before.

BTC is in line with the Macro wind Q4

Historically, November from October to November was the highest window of BTC, with a common return of +67.91 %. Usually, it is where the driving marches get the legs.

In contrast to December, it tends to spread modest moderate gains, and often behaves as a unification area or a final motivation leg, as investors look forward to locking profits from previous upward movements.

So if the Federal Reserve Discounts in September and BTC a decrease of $ 125,000 as a resistance, it will be almost perfectly in line with the strongest historical momentum in Bitcoin, which paves the way for a possible outbreak of price discovery.

Source: Coinglass

All things look, The markets are very inclined It is clear that the reduction of September prices is more than just Macro trade. Instead, it is a main turning point, and now after only 45 days.

From time to time, if BTC wants to restart its usual Q4, it will need to heart at the level of $ 125,000 to support and get an affirmation of the transformation of liquidity.

Even that alignment, its operation may remain to 200 thousand dollars.