Bitcoin 3.5 % decrease – more pain in the future? star-news.press/wp

Bitcoin has been higher than the level of $ 100,000 embarrassing since early June, indicating that the market may determine the new price balance. Despite the detention of this psychological threshold, the bullish momentum has stopped as BTC struggled to break its height at all near $ 112,000. This monotheism is characterized by frequency, as traders weighing total economic uncertainty, global conflict, and post -half noise.

Data from Cryptoquant provides a deeper context in the market dynamics, especially in the derivative sector. According to the company, the previous deep -interest withdrawals (OI) – between 20 % and 25 % – were usually accompanied by local price corrections from 7 % to 21 % during 2024 and 2025. These sharp declines in OI often indicate the position of the wide market in the market or liquidation that leads to negative fluctuations.

Currently, OI’s change is to -3.5 %, which indicates only a moderate flow of the output positions. Although this does not raise instant red flags, it highlights cautious feelings between future traders. The silent decline in OI indicates that investors are reducing exposure, but they do not completely get out of the market-a sign that the current procedure for the prices associated with the extent may continue until a more crucial catalyst appears.

Bitcoin momentum fades as the open attention is in a possible danger

Bitcoin is currently trading by 6 % less than its highest level ever of $ 112,000, indicating great flexibility amid global uncertainty but lacks the momentum needed to enter the full price discovery. The market retains a relatively stable above the level of $ 100,000, however the inability to pay a higher payment reflects the frequency of both institutional investors and retail trade. The overall opposite winds – including high US treasury revenues, and the Federal Reserve Decision to keep interest rates, and escalate tensions in the Middle East – in influencing risk morale and upward continuation.

According to the highest analyst Axel AdlerThe futures market data started to refer to re -identifying the subject of caution. In the 2024-2025 cycle, deep -interest withdrawals (OI) coincided between -20 % and -25 % constantly with local bitcoin corrections that range from 7 % to 21 %. While the current OI is sitting by -3.5 % only, which indicates only a moderate decrease in situations, any repetition of the historical style can mean correcting BTC prices of 5-15 %.

With BTC stuck between the main resistance of $ 112,000 and the main support near 103 thousand dollars, traders watch the derivative activity closely. Currently, the market remains balanced – but not fortified of sharp movement if the pressure is built.

The price of BTC carries narrow among the main levels where the market is waiting for the collapse

Bitcoin is currently trading about $ 105,910, after a modest bounce within the scope of tight unification. This 3 -day graph shows BTC that has been caught between the resistance area of ​​$ 109,300 and the support level of 103,600 dollars, which has now been tested several times since early June. Despite a slight rise in size, the price movement is still largely insecure, which reflects the market warning.

The graph also highlights the importance of simple moving averages for 50 days (blue), 100 days (green) and 200 days (red). All three direction indicators tend to the top, as the price is constantly holding on top of it – a bullish structural sign. It is worth noting that SMA for 50 days is currently working as a dynamic support near the range of $ 100,000 to 102 thousand dollars.

As long as the BTC remains within this range, traders will search for the outbreak of more than $ 109,300 to indicate the renewed bullish momentum and a potential payment to discover prices. On the negative side, a collapse can open less than $ 103,600, the door to re -test the 95 thousand dollars area to 98 thousand dollars, where SMA, which is currently 100 days, is in line with.

Distinctive image from Dall-E, the tradingView graph

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