Bitcoin faces a pivotal moment after failing to break the level of $ 110,000. Despite the bullish control of the market, BTC finds itself besieged in a period of cautious monotheism. The bulls actively defend support levels, however the aggressive batch in a new area – is referred to as the discovery of prices – is considered to be out of reach. Investors and analysts are now closely monitoring a catalyst that can ignite the next phase of the upscale momentum.
The most prominent most important Darkfost analyst is the disturbing trend: unrealized profits for long -term holders (LTH) steadily decrease. The data reveals that these profits are now approaching the levels that have been observed last time during the October 2024 correction. This decline indicates that the market slowly contains some accumulated gains during the previous gatherings, which may indicate a cooling or reassessment of a cautious caution for the current bitcoin pricing.
While the inherent Bitcoin power and historical flexibility still inspire confidence, the inability to achieve a decisive penetration of more than $ 110,000 casts a shadow in the short term. Creating a balance between upward control and hesitation is an environment of uncertainty. Since traders are waiting for a clear signal or an external catalyst, the coming days will be it is very important in determining whether Bitcoin can restore upward momentum or return to more monotheism.
Bitcoin faces a week or a break
Bitcoin maintains a capacity of $ 105,000 after several days of volatility and frequency. While the bulls still control the broader direction, the market continues to unify less than $ 112,000 at all-a level that has become a psychological and technical barrier. This side stage began in May and has not yet resolved in both directions. With the US stock market reaching new standard levels, many analysts believe that bitcoin and Altcoins can follow if the momentum continues.
This week may be decisive. A confirmed penetration above $ 112,000 can indicate the start of the next stage of Bitcoin. However, the failure to do this risk a decline to the level of $ 100,000-or less-shakes short-term holders and increases sale pressure.
According to DarkfostData on the series reveals a major signal: The unreasonable profits of long -term holders (LTH) are steadily decreasing, now approaching the levels that were last seen during the October 2024 correction. The average unintended profit, which is measured by MVRV, is currently about 220 %. Although this may seem high, it is much lower than 300 % and 350 % levels seen during the market tops in March and 2024.

The price of LTHS now is about $ 39,000, indicating that although profits remain strong, the market is far from euphoria. In order for BTC to re -visit the similar profitability levels observed in the previous summits, you will need to climb to about $ 140,000. This indicates that, despite monotheism, there are still purposeful potentials in the upward direction if the momentum returns.
BTC Rand-Rand less than 109 thousand dollars
Bitcoin continues to trade in a narrow range ranging between 103,600 dollars and 109,300 dollars, indicating signs of monotheism after weeks of volatility. As we saw in the daily scheme, BTC has repeatedly failed to close over $ 109,300, which is the main level that has crowned upward momentum since early June. At the same time, support for $ 103,600 remains intact, which enhances the idea of ​​the well specified range. The price currently hovers about 106,500 dollars, slightly higher than the moving average for 50 days (blue line), which was a dynamic support during the recent decline operations.

The size is still relatively low, which reflects the frequency in the market. Traders seem to be a clear outbreak of this range to confirm the next directional step. A successful daily closure of more than $ 109,300 can open the door to an increase in its highest levels ever, while the collapse of less than $ 103,600 may lead to a deeper correction of SMA for 200 days about 96,000 dollars.
The rapprochement between Smas 50, 100 and 200 days less than the current price shows that the broader trend is still optimistic. However, the lack of momentum exceeding $ 110,000 enhances the importance of this resistance level. In order for BTC to explode decisively, the market is likely to remain intermittent and without a short -term direction.
Distinctive image from Dall-E, the tradingView graph

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2025-07-02 01:00:00