Daron acemogluA winner of the 2024 economic science gave me some answers. “There is a lot of hype in the industry,” he told me in a telephone conversation. Yes, AI companies have made “spectacular achievements”, but it added, but financial and economic calculations are sometimes excessive that they were based on future projections.
ACEMOGLU Professor, MIT economist is interested in the impact of technical innovations over the global economy, is skeptical about the most passionate claims. Alas is classified as significant advances, perhaps a macroeconomic effect is similar to the phone, and that was not a small thing.
But don’t take it, he said, at least not. Definitely advanced general intelligence that man can do anything, but that in the next decade, productivity increased significantly, from the expansion of the AI engines, in the US economy, about 1 percent or approximately a year 0.1 percent.
This doesn’t seem enough to tell as a technological revolution in economic terms, I said.
“Well, it’s not trivial,” But “But” Alas is less than bulls “, you would like to hear if one or more companies get over the general intelligence in the next few years. Then his estimates will be very low.
Constantly upbeat
The profit season is in Wall Street, and in the last two weeks, some of the U.S. companies that are developing and investing in AI has been completely positive and, in fact, self-service – AO estimates of the future.
2025-02-07 21:31:00
