Bitcoin is unlikely to reach the peak price in the second quarter of 2025: Analyst star-news.press/wp

Bitcoin analyst says that merchants who expect Bitcoin to reach a rise in the end of this year to a misunderstanding of the principles of statistics.

It comes at a time when many analysts expect the result of Bitcoin (BTC) recently.

“Anyone who believes that Bitcoin should reach its climax in the fourth quarter of this year, does not understand statistics or possibility,” Planck, Planck. He said In the post on Friday.

Blanc said: “From a statistical and probable point of view, it is equivalent to turning the coin and obtaining tails three times in a row, and then betting on all your money that the fourth face should be tails,” explaining that relying on the previous three courses does not provide sufficient statistical indication.

There is no “basic reason” for Bitcoin to the peak in the fourth quarter

The analyst also argued that the half -cycle is no longer related to Bitcoin, after the recent discussion in the industry, especially with the rise of treasury companies in Bitcoin and the large flows in the instant bitcoin boxes.

“There is no basic reason-contrary to psychological prophecy and self-realization-for peak in the fourth quarter 2025,” he explained. The fourth quarter of historically has been the best average performance on average for Bitcoin since 2013, with an average return of 85.42 %, According to To Coinglass.

However, if the half -cycle is still in a movement, Bitcoin can enter the downtown direction early in October, and analysts have previously indicated.

Merchants have been divided recently about whether Bitcoin will be at the end of the year.

The industry discusses whether the Roll market will continue in 2026

“There is an opportunity greater than 50 % of Bitcoin goes to a group from 140 to 150 this year before we see the bear market at the end of next year.”

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Others expect the bull market to continue until 2026.

Meanwhile, many analysts expected Bitcoin to reach $ 250,000 before the end of the year. In April 2025, Arthur Hayes, co -founder of Bitmex, expected this level, and only one month later, in May, the UNSAINEED JOE Burnett Market Truce.

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